Will Winter’s Wrath be Unleashed in 2025?

December 9, 2024

As 2024 draws to a close, the agricultural community is turning its attention to what lies ahead in 2025. While Montana’s winter wheat crop shows promise and calf prices remain strong, weather patterns are expected to play a significant role in shaping the coming year for farmers and ranchers. Meteorologist Brian Bledsoe shared his forecast and insights at the recent Montana Stockgrowers Association fall convention.

Watch the Video Podcast with Brian Bledsoe here:

Montana is facing dry conditions in some regions, but Bledsoe predicts a notable shift in weather as the new year begins. “Pacific Ocean patterns indicate that colder and wetter conditions will develop in January,” he said. Recent snowpack accumulations in Siberia and Canada are key indicators of a more traditional winter for Montana, with potential for significant cold snaps and increased snowfall.

Bledsoe pointed out that the weak La Niña event, which has been influencing weather patterns, will likely continue into February before fading. However, even in its weaker state, La Niña will bring increased winter activity to Montana and the Northern Rockies.

Regional Weather Impacts

• Montana: Expect colder temperatures and heavier snow than last year, particularly in January and February.
• Southern Plains: While recent rains improved subsoil moisture and benefited winter wheat crops, drier conditions are expected to return in early 2025.
• Corn Belt: Concerns remain about long-term rainfall deficits, which could lead to a dry summer for key crop-producing states.

For farmers and ranchers, aligning plans with weather forecasts is crucial to managing risk. Bledsoe emphasized the importance of early preparation. “If you’re guessing, you’re losing money,” he noted. Whether it’s purchasing hay before prices rise, selecting drought-resistant crops, or fine-tuning insurance plans, strategic decisions tied to weather forecasts can make a significant difference.

Bledsoe highlighted similarities between current weather patterns and those seen during the late 1940s to early 1960s. “The cycles we’re observing are reminiscent of the 1950s,” he said. Understanding these historical patterns provides valuable context for farmers, particularly those in the Plains states, as they prepare for future challenges.

For those looking to stay ahead of the weather, Bledsoe offers daily forecasts and insights through the Montana Stockgrowers Association and private consultations. He can be reached via X, formally Twitter, @BrianBledsoe or email BrianBledsoe@gmail.com . 

As the agricultural community looks to 2025, weather will remain a pivotal factor. Stay tuned to the LaneCast Ag Podcast and the Western Ag Network for continued updates, expert interviews, and actionable insights.

Source: Western Ag Network and LaneCast Ag Podcast